BYD vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 16, 2021 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9David Bellego1 3 2 3 110+1
- 11Andreas Lyager2 3 3 2 111
- 12Grzegorz Zengota0 0 1 01
- 13Vadim Tarasenko3 2 3 3 011
- 14Mateusz Błażykowski3 2 05
- 15Nikodem Bartoch1 0 12+1
- 16Evgenii Saidullin1 1 0 2 04+2
- 1Kacper Gomolski3 1 3 2 3 214+1
- 2Sergei Logachev1 3 1 3 311+1
- 3Viktor Trofymov0 1 1 W2+2
- 4Rune Holta3 2 2 1 210+2
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 2 17
- 6Mateusz Tudzież2 0 02
- 7Przemysław Giera0 U 00
Heat by heat
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- David Bellego · BYD1*
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB0
- Mateusz Błażykowski · BYD3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- Przemysław Giera · RYB0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Mateusz Błażykowski · BYD2
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD1*
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD1
- Przemysław Giera · RYBU
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1*
- Mateusz Błażykowski · BYD0
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2
- Rune Holta · RYB1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1*
- Przemysław Giera · RYB0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Viktor Trofymov · RYBW
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB3
- Rune Holta · RYB2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.7 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| BYD | RYB | BYD | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Gomolski | 6 | 9.0 | 14 | +5.0 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 1.8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Evgenii Saidullin | 5 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Przemysław Giera | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 5.6 | 1 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.