RYB vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, June 11, 2021 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Kacper Gomolski3 1 2 28+1
- 10Rune Holta3 3 3 2 314+1
- 11Sergei Logachev2 3 3 311+1
- 12Viktor TrofymovW 1 2 14+1
- 13Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 3 214+1
- 14Kacper TkoczD 0 00
- 15Mateusz Tudzież3 0 14
- 16Leon Flint0 00
- 1Rohan Tungate1 2 1 M 3 18
- 2Dawid Lampart2 1 0 2 0 38+1
- 3Artur MroczkaW 2 2 2 1 W7
- 4Alexander Woentin2 0 1 1 26+2
- 6Przemysław Konieczny1 1 13+1
- 7Dawid Rempała2 1 0 03
Heat by heat
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2*
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB3
- Dawid Rempała · TAR2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBD
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Dawid Lampart · TAR2
- Dawid Rempała · TAR1
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Alexander Woentin · TAR2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1
- Alexander Woentin · TAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · TAR2
- Dawid Lampart · TAR1*
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Alexander Woentin · TAR1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2*
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
- Dawid Lampart · TAR0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2*
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Rohan Tungate · TARM
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2
- Alexander Woentin · TAR1
- Leon Flint · RYB0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Dawid Lampart · TAR2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Rune Holta · RYB2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Dawid Lampart · TAR0
- Dawid Lampart · TAR3
- Alexander Woentin · TAR2*
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1
- Leon Flint · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2*
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 2.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| RYB | TAR | RYB | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.6 | 14 | +4.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 11.7 | 14 | +2.3 |
| Sergei Logachev | 4 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Alexander Woentin | 5 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Artur Mroczka | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Dawid Rempała | 4 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Dawid Lampart | 6 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Leon Flint | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 11.2 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 4.9 | 0 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.