KRO vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, June 14, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak3 2 2 1 0 19
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak2 1 14+2
- 11Patryk Wojdyło2 0 13+1
- 12Vaclav Milik1 2 3 2 3 213+1
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 1 3 2 314
- 14Bartosz Curzytek1 0 0 01
- 15Jakub Janik0 00
- 1Rasmus Jensen1 3 0 3 07
- 2Krystian Pieszczek0 1 3 2 06
- 3Jakub Jamróg0 3 2 1 28+1
- 4Michał Gruchalski3 1 3 W7
- 5Viktor Kulakov2 3 2 3 111
- 6Alan Szczotka3 1 04
- 7Piotr Gryszpiński2 0 13+2
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Alan Szczotka · GDA3
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA2*
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Jakub Janik · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Jakub Janik · KRO0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1*
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h N
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| KRO | GDA | KRO | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 8.5 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 3 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Jakub Janik | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 4 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 12.5 | 9 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.