TAR vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, April 26, 2021 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Kim Nilsson2 2 1 2 07
- 10Alexander Woentin2 1 14+1
- 11Artur Mroczka0 0 3 3 06
- 12Ernest Koza3 1 2 T 28+1
- 13Rohan Tungate0 1 3 3 3 313
- 14Przemysław Konieczny0 1 0 01
- 15Dawid Rempała3 0 03
- 1Peter Kildemand1 2 2 3 210+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen2 3 W 2 18
- 3Mirosław Jabłoński3 2 2 07+1
- 4Timo Lahti3 3 1 1 19+2
- 5Oskar Fajfer1 3 1 2 310+1
- 6Marcel Studziński1 W 01+1
- 7Mikołaj Czapla2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Dawid Rempała · TAR3
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI2
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1*
- Rohan Tungate · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Alexander Woentin · TAR2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Marcel Studziński · GNIW
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2*
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Alexander Woentin · TAR1*
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Peter Kildemand · GNI3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Alexander Woentin · TAR1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1*
- Kim Nilsson · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 → 5 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | GNI | TAR | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 4.2 | 8 | +3.8 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 12.1 | 13 | +0.9 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 10.6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 4 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.