GDA vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 24, 2021 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Krystian Pieszczek1 3 3 3 010
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 1 1 2 29+1
- 11Jakub Jamróg0 2 D 2 04
- 12Lukas Fienhage0 1 2 14+1
- 13Viktor Kulakov3 2 3 3 314
- 14Piotr Gryszpiński3 2 16+1
- 15Alan Szczotka2 M 13+2
- 1Vadim Tarasenko2 3 W W 3 19+2
- 2Grzegorz Zengota2 1 2 3 19
- 3David Bellego3 3 2 2 1 213
- 5Andreas Lyager1 2 3 06+1
- 6Nikodem Bartoch1 1 1 03
- 7Hubert GąsiorD T0
- 8Brayden Jay McGuinnessT 0 00
Heat by heat
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA3
- Alan Szczotka · GDA2*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- Hubert Gąsior · BYDD
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA2*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA1*
- Brayden Jay McGuinness · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD1
- Alan Szczotka · GDAM
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1
- Brayden Jay McGuinness · BYD0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA2
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDAD
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA1
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 35 km/h NW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 26 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GDA | BYD | GDA | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bellego | 6 | 9.2 | 13 | +3.8 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.5 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Lukas Fienhage | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 4 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Hubert Gąsior | 2 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 12.1 | 9 | -3.1 |
| Brayden Jay McGuinness | 3 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.8 | 4 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.