RYB vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 27, 2021 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Kacper Gomolski0 1 1 02
- 10Rune Holta3 2 3 2 3 316
- 11Sergei Logachev1 0 3 3 3 111
- 12Viktor Trofymov0 1 01
- 13Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 2 0 16
- 14Kacper Tkocz0 00
- 15Mateusz Tudzież2 1 0 03
- 1Nicolai Klindt2 2 D 15+3
- 3Grzegorz Walasek3 3 1 1 210+2
- 4Tomasz Gapiński2 1 3 2 210
- 5Oliver Berntzon3 2 2 2 09
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 0 03
- 7Jakub Poczta1 0 12+1
- 8Patrick Hansen1 3 3 2 312
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2
- Jakub Poczta · OST1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Sergei Logachev · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Nicolai Klindt · OSTD
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Jakub Poczta · OST1*
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| RYB | OST | RYB | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -12 | 7 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -12 | 2 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Rune Holta | 6 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Sergei Logachev | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.4 | 6 | -3.4 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 6.0 | 2 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.