GNI vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Tuesday, May 4, 2021 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Peter Kildemand2 1 0 3 39+1
- 10Frederik Jakobsen3 3 2 1 110
- 11Timo Lahti3 W 1 2 06+1
- 12Mirosław Jabłoński0 2 2 04
- 13Oskar Fajfer3 3 3 3 315
- 14Mikołaj Czapla1 0 12
- 15Marcel Studziński3 0 14+1
- 1Jakub Jamróg1 2 3 1 18+2
- 2Rasmus Jensen1 1 1 3 28+2
- 3Lukas Fienhage0 W0
- 4Krystian Pieszczek2 3 2 2 09
- 5Viktor Kulakov2 W 2 3 2 211
- 6Alan Szczotka2 1 0 03+1
- 7Piotr Gryszpiński0 W0
- 8Aleksandr KaibushevW0
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2*
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA0
- Marcel Studziński · GNI3
- Alan Szczotka · GDA2
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1*
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Peter Kildemand · GNI0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1*
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GNI3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1*
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Peter Kildemand · GNI3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1*
- Timo Lahti · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 11 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 17 km/h SW
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 8 | +1 | −1 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GNI | GDA | GNI | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +5 | 88 % |
| 7 | +7 | 95 % |
| 8 | +9 | 98 % |
| 9 | +7 | 94 % |
| 10 | +7 | 95 % |
| 11 | +7 | 95 % |
| 12 | +7 | 98 % |
| 13 | +9 | 100 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 9.6 | 15 | +5.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Alan Szczotka | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Aleksandr Kaibushev | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Lukas Fienhage | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.8 | 6 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.