BYD vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, April 19, 2021 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Vadim Tarasenko2 2 3 3 313+1
- 10Adrian Gała3 1 2 3 211+3
- 11David Bellego3 3 2 3 213+1
- 12Grzegorz Zengota2 2 1 05+2
- 13Andreas Lyager0 3 3 1 310
- 14Mateusz BłażykowskiU0
- 15Nikodem Bartoch1 0 12
- 1Kim Nilsson0 1 1 2 15+1
- 2Ernest Koza1 2 0 2 16
- 3Artur Mroczka1 1 2 2 06
- 4Alexander Woentin2 0 W 02
- 5Rohan Tungate3 3 3 1 W10+1
- 6Dawid Rempała2 1 03+1
- 7Przemysław Konieczny3 0 03
Heat by heat
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Kim Nilsson · TAR0
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR3
- Dawid Rempała · TAR2*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Adrian Gała · BYD3
- Alexander Woentin · TAR2
- Dawid Rempała · TAR1
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Alexander Woentin · TAR0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD2
- Adrian Gała · BYD1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Adrian Gała · BYD2*
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Adrian Gała · BYD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Rohan Tungate · TARW
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Adrian Gała · BYD2*
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Alexander Woentin · TAR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.5 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 6 | +5 | −5 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| BYD | TAR | BYD | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +3 | 83 % |
| 9 | +7 | 94 % |
| 10 | +7 | 95 % |
| 11 | +7 | 95 % |
| 12 | +9 | 98 % |
| 13 | +11 | 100 % |
| 14 | +15 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bellego | 5 | 8.5 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Alexander Woentin | 4 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 8.5 | 5 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.