OST vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Tuesday, May 25, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Grzegorz Walasek2 1 3 28
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 3 1 3 313
- 11Oliver BerntzonW 3 3 39
- 12Daniel Kaczmarek0 33
- 13Nicolai Klindt3 3 3 1 111
- 14Jakub Poczta2 1 03+1
- 15Sebastian Szostak3 0 14
- 16Patrick Hansen2 2 2 28+4
- 1Kevin Fajfer1 1 02+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen1 2 2 2 29
- 3Mirosław Jabłoński3 1 1 05+1
- 4Timo Lahti2 0 2 3 07
- 5Oskar FajferD 2 1 2 16
- 6Marcel Studziński1 0 01
- 7Mikołaj Czapla0 0 00
- 8Philip Hellström Bängs1 01
Heat by heat
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Jakub Poczta · OST2*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNID
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Jakub Poczta · OST1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Timo Lahti · GNI0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1*
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Timo Lahti · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 13 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h S
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| OST | GNI | OST | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.5 | 13 | +5.5 |
| Patrick Hansen | 4 | 4.8 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 2 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.7 | 7 | -2.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 11.1 | 6 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.