KRO vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 2, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak2 3 1 3 312+1
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 0 15
- 11Patryk Wojdyło3 2 2 3 111+2
- 12Vaclav Milik0 3 3 1 29
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs1 1 3 3 19+1
- 14Aleks RydlewskiD 22+1
- 15Bartosz Curzytek2 0 13
- 16Jakub Janik00
- 1Vadim TarasenkoW 3 2 2 3 212+1
- 2Grzegorz Zengota3 2 3 2 010+1
- 3David Bellego1 1 2 04
- 5Andreas Lyager2 2 1 2 07+1
- 6Mateusz BłażykowskiW U0
- 7Nikodem Bartoch3 0 03
- 8Evgenii Saidullin1 0 1 02+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYDW
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD3
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO2
- Aleks Rydlewski · KROD
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO2*
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · BYDU
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD1*
- Jakub Janik · KRO0
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 12 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 35 km/h W
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 10 | +3 | −3 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRO | BYD | KRO | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +3 | 86 % |
| 3 | -1 | 64 % |
| 4 | +3 | 83 % |
| 5 | +7 | 94 % |
| 6 | +3 | 82 % |
| 7 | +5 | 90 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +1 | 73 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +7 | 95 % |
| 12 | +9 | 98 % |
| 13 | +11 | 100 % |
| 14 | +11 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 3.2 | 11 | +7.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 12.6 | 12 | -0.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Jakub Janik | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 2 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Evgenii Saidullin | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.