GDA vs RYB

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 11, 2021 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk

Results

GDA 45 : 45 RYB

GDA

9Krystian PieszczekW 2 W 1 14+1
10Rasmus Jensen3 3 2 0 311
11Jakub Jamróg2 3 3 2 111+1
12Michał Gruchalski1 01
13Viktor Kulakov3 3 3 3 214
14Piotr Gryszpiński1 0 01
15Alan Szczotka0 0 11+1
16Aleksandr Kaibushev2 02+1

RYB

1Kacper Gomolski3 2 1 2 311+1
2Sergei Logachev2 1 3 3 09+1
3Viktor Trofymov1 2 1 2 28+1
4Rune Holta1 1 2 3 D7+2
6Mateusz Tudzież3 2 1 1 18+1
7Przemysław Giera2 0 D W 02+1

Heat by heat

Heat 164.69 s2:4

Heat 265.32 s1:5

Heat 363.72 s4:2

Heat 463.85 s3:3

Heat 564.00 s3:3

Heat 663.81 s3:3

Heat 764.32 s5:1

Heat 864.03 s3:3

Heat 963.72 s2:4

Heat 1064.65 s5:1

Heat 1164.66 s1:5

Heat 1264.03 s3:3

Heat 1364.19 s3:3

Heat 1464.81 s4:2

Heat 1564.38 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 13 → 19 °C; Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Wind: 23 km/h SE; gusts up to 33 km/h; Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 48 %; Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	GDA	RYB	GDA	RYB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GDA

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-6	27 %
3	-4	34 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-4	33 %
7	0	60 %
8	0	57 %
9	-2	44 %
10	+2	70 %
11	-2	36 %
12	-2	35 %
13	-2	33 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Kacper Gomolski	5	6.7	11	+4.3
Mateusz Tudzież	5	4.1	8	+3.9
Viktor Kulakov	5	11.1	14	+2.9
Viktor Trofymov	5	5.8	8	+2.2
Jakub Jamróg	5	10.2	11	+0.8
Rasmus Jensen	5	10.2	11	+0.8
Sergei Logachev	5	8.9	9	+0.1
Aleksandr Kaibushev	2	2.5	2	-0.5
Michał Gruchalski	2	2.1	1	-1.1
Piotr Gryszpiński	3	2.5	1	-1.5
Alan Szczotka	3	2.7	1	-1.7
Rune Holta	5	9.7	7	-2.7
Przemysław Giera	5	4.8	2	-2.8
Krystian Pieszczek	5	8.7	4	-4.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.3263.72 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 35.7:29.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.17 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source