KRO vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 3, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 311
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 U4
- 11Patryk Wojdyło0 3 25+1
- 12Vaclav Milik3 0 3 1 310
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 3 2 2 213+2
- 14Kamil Marciniec0 0 00
- 15Aleks Rydlewski1 0 01
- 16Jan Kvech1 1 35+1
- 1Nicolai Klindt1 3 3 0 18+1
- 2Patrick Hansen0 1 1 2 04
- 3Oliver Berntzon2 2 2 39+1
- 4Tomasz Gapiński2 3 1 2 19+1
- 5Grzegorz Walasek1 W D1
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 1 W4+1
- 7Jakub Krawczyk2 2 1 05+2
- 8Jakub PocztaW0
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO1
- Kamil Marciniec · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Patrick Hansen · OST0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Kamil Marciniec · KRO0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2*
- Jan Kvech · KRO1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Kamil Marciniec · KRO0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KROU
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Sebastian Szostak · OSTW
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Jan Kvech · KRO1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Patrick Hansen · OST0
- Jan Kvech · KRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 14 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h S
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 7 | +3 | −3 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| KRO | OST | KRO | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -1 | 56 % |
| 11 | +1 | 68 % |
| 12 | +1 | 73 % |
| 13 | +1 | 74 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.4 | 11 | +3.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Jan Kvech | 3 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 3 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 13.1 | 13 | -0.1 |
| Jakub Poczta | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 3 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 9.6 | 4 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.