OST vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 26, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Nicolai Klindt0 1 2 14+2
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 2 3 3 314
- 11Oliver Berntzon1 2 3 3 211+2
- 12Patrick Hansen1 3 2 3 312+1
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 3 1 1 W8+1
- 14Jakub Krawczyk3 2 27+1
- 15Sebastian Szostak2 1 14+1
- 1Tobiasz Musielak2 D 0 2 2 28+1
- 2Vaclav Milik2 2 1 2 1 19
- 3Patryk Wojdyło3 1 04
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak1 0 01
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs0 3 3 1 0 07
- 6Kamil MarciniecT 0 00
- 7Aleks Rydlewski1 0 U1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Kamil Marciniec · KRO0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KROD
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Kamil Marciniec · KRO0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Aleks Rydlewski · KROU
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 21 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| OST | KRO | OST | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.8 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 3.2 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 11.2 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 3 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 12.3 | 7 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.