OST vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 12, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Nicolai Klindt1 T 2 25+2
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 3 3 1 111
- 11Oliver Berntzon3 3 3 312
- 12Patrick Hansen2 1 2 3 311+2
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 3 3 W 211+1
- 14Jakub Krawczyk1 2 0 U3+1
- 15Sebastian Szostak3 1 1 16
- 1Kacper Gomolski0 D 0 00
- 2Rune Holta0 2 1 2 D5
- 3Sergei Logachev2 2 2 3 211+1
- 4Viktor Trofymov1 0 1 13+1
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 1 2 1 310+1
- 6Mateusz Tudzież2 0 02
- 7Paweł Trześniewski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Rune Holta · RYB0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2*
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYBD
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Rune Holta · RYBD
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OSTU
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| OST | RYB | OST | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +26 | 100 % |
| 11 | +30 | 100 % |
| 12 | +32 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 6.4 | 12 | +5.6 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 3 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.3 | 0 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.