KRO vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 11, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak2 3 2 18+2
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 2 3 2 313+2
- 11Patryk Wojdyło3 1 2 3 211
- 12Vaclav Milik2 2 1 3 19+3
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 3 3 113
- 14Seweryn OrgackiW0
- 15Aleks Rydlewski1 U 01
- 1Rasmus Jensen1 2 0 36
- 2Krystian Pieszczek1 1 1 25
- 3Jakub Jamróg0 3 2 0 0 05
- 5Viktor Kulakov0 1 3 2 1 29
- 6Alan Szczotka2 1 03+1
- 7Piotr Gryszpiński3 0 14+1
- 8Michał Gruchalski2 W 1 03
Heat by heat
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA3
- Alan Szczotka · GDA2*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO1
- Marko Levishyn · KRO
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Aleks Rydlewski · KROU
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2*
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2*
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h N
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRO | GDA | KRO | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.4 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 6.5 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Marko Levishyn | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 6 | 9.6 | 5 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.