RYB vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 4, 2021 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Pontus Aspgren2 1 3 1 18+2
- 10Viktor Trofymov2 2 0 1 05
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 3 3 111+2
- 12Kacper GomolskiW 0 2 24
- 13Rune Holta3 2 3 3 213
- 14Paweł Trześniewski0 1 01
- 15Mateusz Tudzież2 0 02
- 1Nicolai Klindt3 3 1 0 07+1
- 2Patrick Hansen1 1 2 2 39
- 3Grzegorz Walasek0 2 1 2 27+2
- 4Tomasz GapińskiW 1 2 3 39+1
- 5Oliver Berntzon2 0 W2
- 6Sebastian Szostak1 3 T4
- 7Jakub Krawczyk3 3 1 07+1
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYBW
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OSTW
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB1*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1*
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB1
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h N
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 6 | +5 | −5 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| RYB | OST | RYB | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | +1 | 70 % |
| 11 | +1 | 68 % |
| 12 | +1 | 73 % |
| 13 | +3 | 91 % |
| 14 | -1 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 2.8 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 5 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 3 | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.