GDA vs KRO

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 5, 2021 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk

Results

GDA 45 : 45 KRO

GDA

9Rasmus Jensen3 1 1 2 18+2
10Krystian Pieszczek1 2 0 03+1
11Jakub Jamróg1 2 3 2 311
12Michał Gruchalski1 1 1 3 39+1
13Viktor Kulakov0 2 3 2 07
14Piotr Gryszpiński2 2 04+1
15Alan Szczotka3 0 03

KRO

1Tobiasz Musielak2 1 3 T 28
2Mateusz Szczepaniak3 3 2 3 213+1
3Vaclav Milik0 3 1 3 07+1
4Patryk Wojdyło3 0 2 16
5Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 2 1 19+2
6Seweryn Orgacki1 0 0 01
7Aleks RydlewskiT 0 11

Heat by heat

Heat 165.94 s4:2

Heat 266.66 s5:1

Heat 365.94 s1:5

Heat 467.16 s3:3

Heat 566.25 s3:3

Heat 665.59 s2:4

Heat 766.43 s3:3

Heat 866.25 s3:3

Heat 965.72 s1:5

Heat 1066.43 s4:2

Heat 1167.41 s5:1

Heat 1266.66 s2:4

Heat 1366.35 s2:4

Heat 1467.12 s4:2

Heat 1566.41 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 15 °C; Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Wind: 16 km/h E; gusts up to 24 km/h; Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 55 %; Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	GDA	KRO	GDA	KRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GDA

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+6	89 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	0	66 %
7	0	60 %
8	0	57 %
9	-4	28 %
10	-2	36 %
11	+2	68 %
12	0	57 %
13	-2	33 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Mateusz Szczepaniak	5	7.5	13	+5.5
Michał Gruchalski	5	4.5	9	+4.5
Jakub Jamróg	5	8.7	11	+2.3
Piotr Gryszpiński	3	3.3	4	+0.7
Patryk Wojdyło	4	5.4	6	+0.6
Alan Szczotka	3	2.6	3	+0.4
Tobiasz Musielak	4	8.0	8	+0.0
Aleks Rydlewski	2	1.2	1	-0.2
Rasmus Jensen	5	8.5	8	-0.5
Vaclav Milik	5	8.1	7	-1.1
Andzejs Lebedevs	5	11.0	9	-2.0
Viktor Kulakov	5	9.3	7	-2.3
Krystian Pieszczek	4	6.6	3	-3.6
Seweryn Orgacki	4	5.2	1	-4.2

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.4165.59 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 32.3:32.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.00 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source