OST vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 15, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Nicolai Klindt2 3 1 06+2
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 1 2 1 310+1
- 11Oliver Berntzon3 3 3 3 113
- 12Patrick Hansen3 2 2 3 010+2
- 13Grzegorz Walasek1 2 2 2 29+1
- 14Kacper Grzelak1 01+1
- 15Sebastian Szostak2 0 24+1
- 16Jakub Krawczyk11+1
- 1Daniel Jeleniewski1 1 02
- 2Andreas Lyager2 3 3 1 1 212+2
- 3Vadim Tarasenko0 0 3 2 3 311
- 4Adrian Gała2 1 03
- 5David Bellego0 2 13
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 1 0 0 15+1
- 7Nikodem Bartoch0 00
- 8Evgenii Saidullin0 00
Heat by heat
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Adrian Gała · BYD2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Adrian Gała · BYD1
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1*
- Adrian Gała · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1
- Evgenii Saidullin · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Patrick Hansen · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 22 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| OST | BYD | OST | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 12.3 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Evgenii Saidullin | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 3 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| David Bellego | 3 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.