LOD vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 15, 2021 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Norbert Kościuch2 1 0 14+1
- 10Marcin Nowak3 3 2 0 08
- 11Oleksandr Loktayev3 0 3 3 312
- 12Luke Becker3 3 1 3 010
- 13Brady Kurtz1 3 3 3 313
- 14Jakub Sroka1 1 02
- 15Aleksander Grygolec3 0 03
- 1Peter Kildemand1 2 1 2 17+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen2 1 3 2 210+1
- 3Timo Lahti0 2 2 2 17+1
- 4Zbigniew Suchecki2 1 1 04+2
- 5Oskar Fajfer0 2 2 1 27+1
- 6Szymon Szwacher0 0 00
- 7Mikołaj Czapla2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Timo Lahti · GNI0
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD3
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI2
- Jakub Sroka · LOD1
- Szymon Szwacher · GNI0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Zbigniew Suchecki · GNI2
- Jakub Sroka · LOD1
- Szymon Szwacher · GNI0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Zbigniew Suchecki · GNI1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Zbigniew Suchecki · GNI1*
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Szymon Szwacher · GNI0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Zbigniew Suchecki · GNI0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1*
- Luke Becker · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | GNI | LOD | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Jakub Sroka | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Zbigniew Suchecki | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Szymon Szwacher | 3 | 4.1 | 0 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.