KRO vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, August 16, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak1 2 1 3 07+1
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 3 3 2 112+1
- 12Vaclav Milik0 3 2 2 18+1
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 3 3 314
- 14Jakub Janik1 0 12
- 15Aleks Rydlewski0 0 00
- 16Jan Kvech0 2 1 36+2
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 0 1 3 211
- 2Kacper Gomolski1 1 2 2 28+2
- 3Viktor Trofymov2 1 2 16+1
- 4Pontus Aspgren2 M W 02
- 5Rune Holta3 1 3 D 07
- 6Mateusz Tudzież2 1 03+2
- 7Paweł Trześniewski3 0 14+1
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Jan Kvech · KRO0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2*
- Jakub Janik · KRO1
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1*
- Jakub Janik · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Jan Kvech · KRO2*
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1
- Pontus Aspgren · RYBM
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2
- Jakub Janik · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Jan Kvech · KRO1*
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB0
- Jan Kvech · KRO3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2*
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1
- Rune Holta · RYBD
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Rune Holta · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 22 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 17 | −10 | +10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| KRO | RYB | KRO | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -10 | 8 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 6.1 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.2 | 14 | +3.8 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 11.4 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Jakub Janik | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.6 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 8.2 | 2 | -6.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.