GDA vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 15, 2021 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Rasmus Jensen0 1 3 2 06+2
- 10Krystian Pieszczek3 2 T 1 39+1
- 11Jakub Jamróg2 2 1 3 210+2
- 12Drew KempD 00
- 13Viktor Kulakov2 2 2 2 311
- 14Piotr Gryszpiński3 2 1 17+2
- 15Alan Szczotka1 0 01
- 16Michał Gruchalski2 35
- 1Artur Mroczka3 3 2 1 09
- 2Ernest Koza3 1 W 2 17+1
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 3 0 29
- 4Alexander Woentin1 1 02
- 5Rohan Tungate1 3 3 3 111
- 6Dawid Rempała2 W 0 02
- 7Piotr Świercz0 0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA3
- Dawid Rempała · TAR2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
- Drew Kemp · GDAD
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA2*
- Alexander Woentin · TAR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Alexander Woentin · TAR1
- Drew Kemp · GDA0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1*
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1*
- Alexander Woentin · TAR0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Piotr Świercz · TAR1*
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2*
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 23 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GDA | TAR | GDA | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 4 | 3.7 | 7 | +3.3 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 2 | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 11.4 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Drew Kemp | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Alexander Woentin | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Dawid Rempała | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Piotr Świercz | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.8 | 6 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.