RYB vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 31, 2021 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Kacper Gomolski0 1 1 13+1
- 10Rune Holta3 3 2 3 314
- 11Sergei Logachev2 3 3 2 111
- 12Viktor Trofymov2 2 2 3 D9+2
- 13Pontus Aspgren0 2 2 2 39+1
- 14Paweł Trześniewski3 2 05+1
- 15Mateusz Tudzież2 0 13+2
- 1Rasmus Jensen3 1 3 2 1 212
- 2Krystian Pieszczek3 3 3 0 3 012
- 3Jakub Jamróg1 0 1 24
- 4Drew Kemp1 1 02
- 5Viktor Kulakov1 2 1 D 15
- 6Alan Szczotka0 0 00
- 7Piotr Gryszpiński1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA1
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2*
- Drew Kemp · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2*
- Drew Kemp · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2*
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Drew Kemp · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Viktor Kulakov · GDAD
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA1
- Viktor Trofymov · RYBD
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| RYB | GDA | RYB | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rune Holta | 5 | 9.1 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 5 | 4.9 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 6 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Drew Kemp | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 10.6 | 5 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.