GNI vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, August 2, 2021 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Peter Kildemand1 3 2 3 211+2
- 10Frederik Jakobsen1 1 3 3 311
- 11Timo Lahti3 3 3 3 113
- 13Oskar Fajfer3 3 2 2 212+1
- 14Mikołaj Czapla1 0 01
- 15Szymon Szwacher0 0 W0
- 16Philip Hellström Bängs1 0 1 02
- 1Oliver Berntzon2 1 1 2 W6+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński2 2 0 2 17
- 3Daniel Kaczmarek0 1 12+1
- 4Patrick Hansen2 2 3 1 0 311+2
- 5Grzegorz Walasek0 2 2 15
- 6Sebastian Szostak2 3 0 05+1
- 7Jakub Poczta3 0 14
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · OST0
- Jakub Poczta · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1
- Szymon Szwacher · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · OST1*
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Szymon Szwacher · GNI0
- Peter Kildemand · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · OST1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Peter Kildemand · GNI3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1*
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Jakub Poczta · OST1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Patrick Hansen · OST0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 20 km/h W
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GNI | OST | GNI | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 4 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Szymon Szwacher | 3 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.