TAR vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 17, 2021 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Ernest Koza3 2 1 1 29
- 10Oskar Bober2 1 0 1 15+2
- 12Artur Mroczka2 1 T 03
- 13Dawid Lampart0 1 1 02
- 14Piotr Świercz0 0 0 22
- 15Przemysław Konieczny1 0 1 2 15+1
- 16Dawid Rempała0 0 W 11+1
- 1Grzegorz Zengota2 2 3 310+1
- 2Andreas Lyager3 3 2 311+1
- 3David Bellego1 3 3 310+1
- 4Daniel Jeleniewski3 2 2 29+3
- 5Vadim Tarasenko1 3 3 29+1
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 1 2 3 312+1
- 7Nikodem Bartoch2 0 0 02+1
- 8Mateusz Błażykowski00
Heat by heat
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2
- David Bellego · BYD1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD2*
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD1
- Dawid Lampart · TAR0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Oskar Bober · TAR2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2*
- Dawid Lampart · TAR1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Oskar Bober · TAR1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2*
- Dawid Lampart · TAR1
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Oskar Bober · TAR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR2
- Dawid Rempała · TAR1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD2*
- Oskar Bober · TAR1
- Dawid Lampart · TAR0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Piotr Świercz · TAR2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1*
- Mateusz Błażykowski · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Oskar Bober · TAR1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 28 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 3 | 15 | −12 | +12 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TAR | BYD | TAR | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -12 | 6 % |
| 6 | -16 | 6 % |
| 7 | -16 | 4 % |
| 8 | -20 | 1 % |
| 9 | -24 | 1 % |
| 10 | -28 | 2 % |
| 11 | -32 | 1 % |
| 12 | -32 | 0 % |
| 13 | -36 | 0 % |
| 14 | -36 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Artur Mroczka | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 5 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Oskar Bober | 5 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Dawid Rempała | 4 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Piotr Świercz | 4 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.