OST vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, July 19, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Nicolai Klindt1 1 3 0 16
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 3 1 2 09+1
- 11Oliver Berntzon0 1 1 24+1
- 13Grzegorz Walasek2 2 2 3 110+1
- 14Kacper Grzelak3 0 14
- 15Sebastian Szostak1 0 12+1
- 16Patrick Hansen3 3 2 2 313
- 1Kacper Gomolski2 1 0 03+1
- 2Rune HoltaD 3 2 1 3 312
- 3Sergei Logachev3 2 3 0 210
- 4Viktor Trofymov1 U1+1
- 5Pontus Aspgren1 2 3 3 1 212+1
- 6Mateusz Tudzież2 2 D 04
- 7Błażej Wypior0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Kacper Grzelak · OST3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Błażej Wypior · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB1
- Rune Holta · RYBD
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Błażej Wypior · RYB0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYBD
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB0
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Błażej Wypior · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB1
- Sergei Logachev · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Pontus Aspgren · RYB2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 19 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| OST | RYB | OST | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 6.3 | 13 | +6.7 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Rune Holta | 6 | 11.8 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 6 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 2 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Błażej Wypior | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.