GDA vs GNI

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 18, 2021 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk

Results

GDA 52 : 37 GNI
GDA
GNI

Heat by heat

Heat 165.28 s4:2
Heat 266.38 s5:1
Heat 365.06 s3:3
Heat 466.25 s5:0
Heat 564.69 s4:2
Heat 664.50 s2:4
Heat 764.72 s3:3
Heat 864.53 s5:1
Heat 963.88 s4:2
Heat 1064.50 s4:2
Heat 1165.05 s2:4
Heat 1264.81 s3:3
Heat 1365.07 s1:5
Heat 1463.99 s5:1
Heat 1564.25 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
23 → 20 °C
Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Wind
34 km/h W
gusts up to 41 km/h
Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
62 %
Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4176+11−11
5–79900
8–10135+8−8
11–13612−6+6
14–1575+2−2
GDAGNIGDAGNI

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GDA
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+689 %
3+690 %
4+1196 %
5+13100 %
6+1199 %
7+1199 %
8+15100 %
9+17100 %
10+19100 %
11+17100 %
12+17100 %
13+13100 %
14+17100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Jakub Jamróg58.212+3.8
Piotr Gryszpiński32.76+3.3
Krystian Pieszczek57.09+2.0
Peter Kildemand69.111+1.9
Viktor Kulakov510.711+0.3
Alan Szczotka32.83+0.2
Timo Lahti610.310-0.3
Rasmus Jensen59.49-0.4
Mikołaj Czapla42.42-0.4
Michał Gruchalski43.42-1.4
Frederik Jakobsen47.25-2.2
Oskar Fajfer611.39-2.3
Marcel Studziński22.60-2.6
Philip Hellström Bängs22.80-2.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 66.3863.88 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 42.7:26.3 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −2.53 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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