KRO vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 4, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak2 3 3 2 212+1
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak2 2 1 05+1
- 11Patryk Wojdyło1 2 2 2 07+2
- 12Vaclav Milik2 0 3 1 39+2
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 1 3 313
- 14Aleks Rydlewski2 0 02
- 15Bartosz Curzytek1 01
- 16Jakub Janik11
- 1Nicolai Klindt0 W 2 3 2 18
- 3Grzegorz Walasek3 3 3 3 1 T13+1
- 4Tomasz Gapiński1 1 2 0 26+1
- 5Oliver BerntzonD T 11
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 3 T 0 17
- 7Jakub PocztaW 1 01
- 8Patrick Hansen1 2 0 14+1
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO2
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Oliver Berntzon · OSTD
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Jakub Janik · KRO1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2*
- Jakub Poczta · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Patrick Hansen · OST0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 22 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 32.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KRO | OST | KRO | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Jakub Janik | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Patrick Hansen | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 2 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 9.6 | 6 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.