GDA vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 20, 2021 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Rasmus Jensen2 3 1 39+1
- 10Krystian Pieszczek3 2 3 08+1
- 11Jakub Jamróg3 2 2 3 111+1
- 12Michał Gruchalski1 01
- 13Viktor Kulakov3 2 3 3 213
- 14Piotr Gryszpiński3 2 0 W5+1
- 15Alan SzczotkaW 0 11
- 16Lukas Fienhage1 0 12+1
- 1Tobiasz Musielak1 3 1 2 2 312+1
- 2Mateusz Szczepaniak0 1 0 23
- 3Vaclav Milik0 1 2 36
- 4Patryk Wojdyło1 2 1 26+2
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 D 3 1 09+1
- 6Aleks Rydlewski1 01
- 7Bartosz Curzytek2 0 1 03
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA3
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO2
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO1
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KROD
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA1*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 30 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 30 km/h SE
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GDA | KRO | GDA | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 4 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 4 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Lukas Fienhage | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 12.6 | 9 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.