TAR vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, April 5, 2021 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Niels Kristian Iversen11
- 10Alexander Woentin1 2 0 0 03
- 11Ernest KozaW 3 1 1 2 18+1
- 12Artur Mroczka1 1 3 3 3 112+1
- 13Rohan Tungate2 2 3 1 1 D9
- 14Mateusz GzylU0
- 15Dawid Rempała2 0 0 02
- 16Piotr Świercz00
- 1Krystian Pieszczek3 1 2 2 311
- 2Rasmus Jensen0 3 1 3 29+2
- 3Jakub Jamróg2 2 2 2 311+2
- 4Michał Gruchalski3 0 1 W4+1
- 5Viktor Kulakov3 3 2 3 213+1
- 6Alan Szczotka3 2 05+1
- 7Piotr Gryszpiński1 0 12
Heat by heat
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA3
- Dawid Rempała · TAR2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1
- Mateusz Gzyl · TARU
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Rohan Tungate · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA3
- Alan Szczotka · GDA2*
- Alexander Woentin · TAR1
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Rohan Tungate · TAR2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Alexander Woentin · TAR2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1*
- Alexander Woentin · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2*
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
- Alexander Woentin · TAR0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Alexander Woentin · TAR0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Rohan Tungate · TARD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 13 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 28 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 17 | −10 | +10 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| TAR | GDA | TAR | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -10 | 8 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artur Mroczka | 6 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 10.4 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Ernest Koza | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 1 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Dawid Rempała | 4 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Piotr Świercz | 1 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Alexander Woentin | 5 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Mateusz Gzyl | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 12.4 | 9 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.