RYB vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 4, 2021 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Sergei Logachev3 2 3 2 212+3
- 10Viktor Trofymov2 3 1 28
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 3 314+1
- 12Kacper Gomolski3 2 2 3 313+2
- 13Rune Holta2 3 3 U 19+1
- 14Przemysław Giera2 1 03+1
- 15Mateusz Tudzież3 0 14
- 1Andzejs Lebedevs1 1 2 1 27+1
- 2Daniel Jeleniewski1 2 0 2 05
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak0 1 1 3 05+1
- 4Patryk Wojdyło3 0 2 0 16
- 5Peter Ljung0 1 1 13
- 6Aleks RydlewskiU D 00
- 7Bartosz Curzytek1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB3
- Przemysław Giera · RYB2*
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Aleks Rydlewski · KROU
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB3
- Rune Holta · RYB2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · KRO1
- Peter Ljung · KRO0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2
- Przemysław Giera · RYB1
- Aleks Rydlewski · KROD
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · KRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1*
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2*
- Peter Ljung · KRO1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1*
- Przemysław Giera · RYB0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · KRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2*
- Peter Ljung · KRO1
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · KRO2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2
- Peter Ljung · KRO1
- Rune Holta · RYBU
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 6 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| RYB | KRO | RYB | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +20 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +26 | 100 % |
| 11 | +30 | 100 % |
| 12 | +32 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 6.7 | 13 | +6.3 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 2.6 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Przemysław Giera | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 3 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.4 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 3 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.