BYD vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, April 29, 2021 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Grzegorz Zengota2 1 0 14+1
- 10Andreas Lyager3 2 3 2 3 114+1
- 11David Bellego1 3 2 3 312+1
- 13Vadim Tarasenko3 3 3 3 D 315
- 14Hubert GąsiorD M D0
- 15Nikodem Bartoch1 0 01
- 16Aleksejs Pilats0 0 00
- 1Grzegorz Walasek3 2 1 1 W7+1
- 2Oliver Berntzon1 1 2 2 28+2
- 3Patrick Hansen0 2 2 1 U5
- 4Tomasz Gapiński2 1 1 04+1
- 5Nicolai Klindt2 3 3 2 212
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 1 15
- 7Jakub Krawczyk2 0 13+2
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2
- David Bellego · BYD1*
- Patrick Hansen · OST0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- Hubert Gąsior · BYDD
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Aleksejs Pilats · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Hubert Gąsior · BYDM
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Aleksejs Pilats · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Hubert Gąsior · BYDD
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Aleksejs Pilats · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYDD
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD1
- Patrick Hansen · OSTU
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 9 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h E
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 97 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| BYD | OST | BYD | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 9.5 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 12.6 | 15 | +2.4 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Aleksejs Pilats | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Hubert Gąsior | 3 | 4.0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.