TAR vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 30, 2020 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Kim Nilsson1 3 3 2 211
- 10Michał Gruchalski3 1 1 05
- 11Ernest Koza3 2 2 2 110+2
- 12Artur Mroczka2 3 1 1 07+2
- 13Peter Ljung1 1 2 2 39+2
- 14Przemysław Konieczny3 1 37
- 15Mateusz Cierniak2 D 13+1
- 1Grzegorz Walasek2 3 1 0 06
- 2Tomasz Gapiński3 2 2 3 2 012+1
- 3Rafał Okoniewski0 1 3 15+1
- 4Adrian Cyfer2 02
- 5Nicolai Klindt0 2 3 3 1 312
- 6Sebastian Szostak0 0 00
- 7Jakub Krawczyk1 0 U1
- 8Jonas Jeppesen00
Heat by heat
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST0
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR2*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST1
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TARD
- Kim Nilsson · TAR3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST0
- Kim Nilsson · TAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OSTU
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 34 → 31 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h S
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TAR | OST | TAR | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 2.8 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 6 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 2 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.