BYD vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, September 10, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck3 2 2 3 W10+2
- 10Troy Batchelor1 3 3 W7
- 11Kamil Brzozowski00
- 12Dawid Lampart1 3 1 27
- 13David Bellego2 3 2 3 111+1
- 14Nikodem Bartoch0 0 00
- 15Tomasz Orwat1 0 12
- 16Andreas Lyager3 3 W 3 W9
- 1Pontus Aspgren1 1 1 03+2
- 2Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 2 03
- 3Kasts Puodzuks2 0 13
- 4Vadim Tarasenko3 2 3 2 2 214+1
- 5Andrey Kudryashov0 0 1 2 36
- 6Olegs Mihailovs2 2 2 1 310+2
- 7Francis Gusts3 1 D 15
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1*
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD0
- Francis Gusts · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Troy Batchelor · BYD1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1*
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD0
- Troy Batchelor · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Francis Gusts · DAU1
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Troy Batchelor · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Dawid Lampart · BYD3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Francis Gusts · DAUD
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Dawid Lampart · BYD2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| BYD | DAU | BYD | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olegs Mihailovs | 5 | 6.1 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 10.8 | 14 | +3.2 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.