TOR vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 23, 2020 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder3 2 1 0 28+3
- 10Jack Holder3 3 2 3 314
- 11Viktor Kulakov2 W 3 3 311+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński3 2 1 17
- 13Tobiasz Musielak2 2 3 1 19+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 01
- 15Kamil Marciniec3 0 14
- 16Aleks Rydlewski00
- 2Troy Batchelor1 1 0 2 04
- 3Kai Huckenbeck0 3 1 2 0 06+1
- 4Dawid Lampart2 1 2 3 210
- 5Matic Ivačič0 11
- 6Tomasz Orwat2 1 0 03+1
- 7Nikodem Bartoch0 00
- 8Andreas Lyager1 3 3 2 2 112+1
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR3
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2*
- Troy Batchelor · BYD1
- Matic Ivačič · BYD0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Dawid Lampart · BYD2
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1
- Viktor Kulakov · TORW
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2
- Troy Batchelor · BYD1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Matic Ivačič · BYD1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Dawid Lampart · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1*
- Aleks Rydlewski · TOR0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Troy Batchelor · BYD0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD0
- Dawid Lampart · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Troy Batchelor · BYD2
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR1
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Troy Batchelor · BYD0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Dawid Lampart · BYD2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| TOR | BYD | TOR | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 6.5 | 12 | +5.5 |
| Dawid Lampart | 5 | 5.4 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 12.2 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.0 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 4 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Matic Ivačič | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 2 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.