OST vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 22, 2020 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Grzegorz Walasek3 1 1 38+1
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 2 3 3 112
- 11Adrian Cyfer1 2 3 D 17+1
- 12Rafał Okoniewski2 3 1 2 311+2
- 13Nicolai Klindt3 3 3 1 313
- 14Jakub Krawczyk1 1 T2+1
- 15Sebastian Szostak2 0 35
- 1Krystian Pieszczek2 1 W D3+1
- 2Rasmus Jensen1 2 2 1 2 210
- 3Jacob Thorssell0 W 2 2 26
- 4Kacper Gomolski2 13
- 5Peter Kildemand0 3 1 2 0 06
- 6Karol Żupiński3 0 0 0 03
- 7Alan Szczotka0 W0
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1*
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Peter Kildemand · GDA0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2*
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Jacob Thorssell · GDAW
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Adrian Cyfer · OST3
- Peter Kildemand · GDA2
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDAD
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Peter Kildemand · GDA0
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Peter Kildemand · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 19 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 83 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 5 | +7 | −7 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| OST | GDA | OST | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +21 | 100 % |
| 13 | +23 | 100 % |
| 14 | +25 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 6.3 | 11 | +4.7 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 2 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Alan Szczotka | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Karol Żupiński | 5 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.