DAU vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, August 24, 2020 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Pontus Aspgren3 2 1 W6
- 10Kasts Puodzuks1 3 0 15
- 11Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 2 3 3 211
- 12Vadim Tarasenko3 0 2 2 29+1
- 13Andrey Kudryashov2 3 3 0 08+1
- 14Francis Gusts3 3 0 17+1
- 15Olegs Mihailovs2 1 14+1
- 1Jurica Pavlic0 0 3 14
- 2Kevin Fajfer0 2 2 2 06+1
- 3Timo Lahti2 3 2 3 3 316
- 4Oskar Fajfer2 1 1 3 2 110+2
- 5Adrian Gała1 W 12
- 6Damian Stalkowski1 0 01
- 7Marcel Studziński0 W 00
Heat by heat
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Francis Gusts · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Francis Gusts · DAU3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1*
- Francis Gusts · DAU0
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2*
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 6 | +5 | −5 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| DAU | GNI | DAU | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +17 | 100 % |
| 8 | +17 | 100 % |
| 9 | +13 | 100 % |
| 10 | +17 | 100 % |
| 11 | +15 | 100 % |
| 12 | +17 | 100 % |
| 13 | +13 | 100 % |
| 14 | +13 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 10.8 | 16 | +5.2 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 5 | 6.2 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 5 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 6.1 | 2 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.