TAR vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 15, 2020 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Kim Nilsson2 3 2 2 2 112
- 10Daniel Kaczmarek3 1 04
- 11Michał GruchalskiW 1 1 W2+1
- 12Artur Mroczka1 2 2 1 1 07+3
- 13Ernest Koza2 2 D T4
- 14Przemysław Konieczny3 0 2 U5
- 15Mateusz Cierniak2 1 2 W5+1
- 1Norbert Kościuch1 3 1 3 08
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev3 D 3 3 211+1
- 3Rohan Tungate3 3 W 3 312
- 4Hans Andersen2 0 3 05
- 5Marcin Nowak0 2 3 2 310
- 6Piotr PióroD 1 W1+1
- 7Aleksander Grygolec1 0 12
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR2*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · LODD
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR1*
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LODD
- Kim Nilsson · TAR3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 25 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 10 | −3 | +3 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 12 | −7 | +7 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TAR | LOD | TAR | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +3 | 83 % |
| 9 | +1 | 73 % |
| 10 | +1 | 70 % |
| 11 | +1 | 68 % |
| 12 | -1 | 57 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 4 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Artur Mroczka | 6 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 6.1 | 2 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.