GNI vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 16, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Frederik Jakobsen1 1 3 16+1
- 10Oliver Berntzon2 3 U 2 07+1
- 11Timo Lahti3 3 1 2 312
- 12Oskar Fajfer0 2 3 2 310+1
- 13Adrian Gała1 2 3 3 110
- 14Marcel Studziński2 0 02
- 15Damian StalkowskiU 0 11+1
- 1Pontus AspgrenW W W W W0
- 2Jevgenijs Kostigovs2 M 1 3 17+2
- 3Kasts Puodzuks0 0 00
- 4Vadim Tarasenko1 1 2 0 26
- 5Andrey Kudryashov3 2 2 1 210
- 6Olegs Mihailovs3 3 1 1 08+1
- 7Daniils KolodinskisW D 00
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Pontus Aspgren · DAUW
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Marcel Studziński · GNI2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNIU
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Pontus Aspgren · DAUW
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Daniils Kolodinskis · DAUD
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNIU
- Pontus Aspgren · DAUW
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
- Pontus Aspgren · DAUW
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1*
- Daniils Kolodinskis · DAU0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Pontus Aspgren · DAUW
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 29 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 20 km/h E
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 24 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 12 | −3 | +3 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 4 | +7 | −7 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 6 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 4 | +7 | −7 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GNI | DAU | GNI | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +3 | 86 % |
| 3 | -1 | 64 % |
| 4 | -3 | 46 % |
| 5 | +1 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +11 | 100 % |
| 12 | +11 | 100 % |
| 13 | +15 | 100 % |
| 14 | +15 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 4.0 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 5 | 5.9 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 4 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Daniils Kolodinskis | 3 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 8.5 | 0 | -8.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.