GDA vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 16, 2020 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Krystian Pieszczek3 2 3 W W8
- 10Peter Kildemand3 1 1 1 39+1
- 11Jacob Thorssell0 1 1 35+2
- 12Kacper Gomolski2 2 2 3 211+1
- 13Rasmus Jensen0 3 3 3 312
- 14Karol Żupiński2 2 15+1
- 15Piotr GryszpińskiW 0 11
- 1Grzegorz Walasek1 2 0 14+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński1 1 2 2 28+1
- 3Rafał Okoniewski2 0 T 02
- 4Adrian Cyfer1 3 2 2 08
- 5Nicolai Klindt3 3 3 2 W 112
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 0 0 03
- 7Kacper Grzelak1 M1
- 8Jakub Krawczyk00
Heat by heat
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Karol Żupiński · GDA2
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Karol Żupiński · GDA2*
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Adrian Cyfer · OST3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1
- Kacper Grzelak · OSTM
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 28 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 32 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 3 | +5 | −5 | |
| GDA | OST | GDA | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 5.4 | 11 | +5.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 11.4 | 12 | +0.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 8.5 | 5 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.