BYD vs TOR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, August 17, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck2 2 1 0 1 06
- 10Kamil Brzozowski0 1 01+1
- 11Andreas Lyager1 3 2 3 3 315+1
- 12Matic Ivačič0 1 1 2 04+1
- 13Dawid Lampart1 2 W 03
- 14Tomasz Orwat2 1 14
- 15Nikodem Bartoch1 1 02+2
- 1Viktor Kulakov3 3 3 3 113+1
- 2Tobiasz Musielak3 0 2 1 28+3
- 3Adrian Miedziński0 0 2 24+1
- 4Jack Holder3 2 3 1 312
- 5Chris Holder2 3 3 1 211+2
- 6Kamil Marciniec0 2 02+1
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński3 0 25
Heat by heat
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR3
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD2
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1
- Matic Ivačič · BYD0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR2*
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Matic Ivačič · BYD1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Dawid Lampart · BYD2
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Matic Ivačič · BYD1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Matic Ivačič · BYD2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Dawid Lampart · BYD0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Matic Ivačič · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| BYD | TOR | BYD | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -16 | 1 % |
| 12 | -16 | 0 % |
| 13 | -16 | 0 % |
| 14 | -20 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 6.7 | 15 | +8.3 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Matic Ivačič | 5 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 12.5 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 11.7 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.