TOR vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 8, 2020 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Jack Holder2 2 3 3 313+2
- 10Viktor Kulakov1 3 2 3 W9+1
- 11Adrian Miedziński3 1 3 3 313
- 12Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 2 010+2
- 13Chris Holder1 3 3 18
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński2 0 02
- 15Kamil MarciniecW 0 00
- 1Krystian Pieszczek0 1 0 12+1
- 2Rasmus Jensen2 2 1 1 17+2
- 3Jacob Thorssell1 2 2 2 2 211
- 4Kacper Gomolski2 0 1 W3+2
- 5Peter Kildemand0 1 01
- 6Karol Żupiński3 3 1 2 0 110
- 7Alan Szczotka1 01
Heat by heat
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Peter Kildemand · GDA0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Peter Kildemand · GDA0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Karol Żupiński · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 31 → 32 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | GDA | TOR | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Żupiński | 6 | 5.1 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Alan Szczotka | 2 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 3 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 6.4 | 2 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.