LOD vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 8, 2020 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Oleksandr Loktayev0 3 3 3 312
- 10Marcin NowakW 2 1 3 39+1
- 11Norbert Kościuch2 2 2 3 U9
- 12Brady KurtzT 0 T 22+1
- 13Rohan Tungate3 3 2 2 212+2
- 14Aleksander Grygolec1 1 13
- 15Piotr Pióro3 0 0 D 14
- 1Oskar Fajfer3 1 2 0 17+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen1 2 0 25+1
- 3Oliver Berntzon1 3 3 1 2 111
- 4Timo Lahti3 1 W 15
- 5Adrian Gała2 1 3 0 06
- 6Damian Stalkowski2 2 15+1
- 7Marcel StudzińskiD 0 00
Heat by heat
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Piotr Pióro · LOD3
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Marcel Studziński · GNID
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI2*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Timo Lahti · GNIW
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Piotr Pióro · LODD
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Adrian Gała · GNI0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Norbert Kościuch · LODU
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Adrian Gała · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 21 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h N
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LOD | GNI | LOD | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 6.9 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Piotr Pióro | 5 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 2 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 4 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 9.0 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.