TOR vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, August 6, 2020 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Viktor Kulakov3 3 3 2 314+1
- 10Adrian Miedziński3 1 1 38
- 11Tobiasz Musielak1 3 3 3 111
- 12Chris Holder2 2 2 3 312+3
- 13Jack Holder3 3 2 1 211+1
- 14Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński3 1 04
- 15Kamil Marciniec2 0 13+1
- 1Grzegorz Walasek2 1 2 1 06+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński0 2 0 24
- 3Rafał Okoniewski0 1 3 04
- 4Adrian Cyfer2 0 1 03
- 5Nicolai Klindt1 2 1 2 28
- 6Sebastian Szostak0 0 0 11
- 7Kacper Grzelak1 0 01
- 8Jakub Krawczyk00
Heat by heat
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST0
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR3
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR2*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST1
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 19 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| TOR | OST | TOR | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +34 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.