GDA vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Tuesday, August 4, 2020 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Krystian Pieszczek2 2 2 2 311+2
- 10Peter Kildemand3 3 3 2 314+1
- 11Mikkel Bech Laursen1 0 2 14+2
- 12Kacper Gomolski1 3 1 16+1
- 13Rasmus Jensen3 1 2 3 110
- 14Karol Żupiński2 1 03
- 15Alan Szczotka1 0 23
- 16Robert Chmiel00
- 1Marcin Nowak0 2 1 03+1
- 2Daniel Jeleniewski1 3 0 3 07+1
- 3Rohan Tungate3 2 3 1 2 D11+1
- 4Oleksandr Loktayev2 3 1 3 211
- 5Brady Kurtz2 1 1 04
- 6Piotr Pióro3 0 U3
- 7Aleksander GrygolecW 0 T0
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Piotr Pióro · LOD3
- Karol Żupiński · GDA2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1*
- Robert Chmiel · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · LODU
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Alan Szczotka · GDA2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Peter Kildemand · GDA2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Rohan Tungate · LODD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 15 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 22 km/h NW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GDA | LOD | GDA | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.0 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Robert Chmiel | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.0 | 4 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.