GNI vs TAR

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 1, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno

Results

GNI 40 : 50 TAR
GNI
TAR

Heat by heat

Heat 166.85 s1:5
Heat 267.84 s2:4
Heat 366.65 s2:4
Heat 467.69 s4:2
Heat 567.07 s3:3
Heat 666.72 s5:1
Heat 767.34 s4:2
Heat 867.62 s1:5
Heat 967.48 s2:4
Heat 1066.92 s5:1
Heat 1168.10 s2:4
Heat 1266.85 s3:3
Heat 1366.72 s2:4
Heat 1467.20 s1:5
Heat 1567.34 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Clear → Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
24 → 26 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
8 km/h E
gusts up to 19 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
39 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–7126+6−6
8–10810−2+2
11–13711−4+4
14–1548−4+4
GNITARGNITAR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GNI
-10-8-6-4-20115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-445 %
2-627 %
3-813 %
4-623 %
5-622 %
6-248 %
7060 %
8-435 %
9-620 %
10-236 %
11-418 %
12-420 %
13-64 %
14-100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Ernest Koza56.713+6.3
Artur Mroczka56.09+3.0
Michał Gruchalski57.09+2.0
Timo Lahti610.512+1.5
Peter Ljung59.49-0.4
Oskar Fajfer35.55-0.5
Kim Nilsson34.84-0.8
Marcel Studziński33.93-0.9
Mateusz Cierniak45.95-0.9
Damian Stalkowski54.23-1.2
Adrian Gała59.48-1.4
Przemysław Konieczny32.41-1.4
Oliver Berntzon48.36-2.3
Jurica Pavlic46.03-3.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 68.1066.65 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 30.0:35.3 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +0.63 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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