DAU vs TOR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 2, 2020 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Kasts Puodzuks1 1 3 0 D5
- 10Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 3 2 0 17+1
- 11Daniils Kolodinskis0 11+1
- 12Pontus Aspgren0 2 2 2 17
- 13Andrey Kudryashov1 3 2 2 1 312
- 14Olegs Mihailovs1 0 12+1
- 15Francis Gusts2 1 1 15+1
- 1Tobiasz Musielak3 0 0 3 39
- 2Adrian Miedziński3 2 1 3 W9
- 3Jack Holder2 0 3 2 29+3
- 4Chris Holder3 3 D 17
- 5Viktor Kulakov2 2 3 3 212+1
- 6Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński3 2 05+1
- 7Kamil Marciniec0 00
- 8Justin StolpW0
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Daniils Kolodinskis · DAU0
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR3
- Francis Gusts · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Daniils Kolodinskis · DAU1*
- Jack Holder · TOR0
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR0
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Chris Holder · TORD
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAUD
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 4 km/h W
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 6 | 18 | −12 | +12 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| DAU | TOR | DAU | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -12 | 10 % |
| 5 | -12 | 6 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrey Kudryashov | 6 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 5 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Francis Gusts | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Daniils Kolodinskis | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Justin Stolp | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.