TAR vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 25, 2020 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Kim Nilsson2 1 03
- 10Ernest Koza3 2 3 2 010+1
- 11Michał Gruchalski1 3 1 3 311
- 12Artur Mroczka1 2 T 25+1
- 13Peter Ljung3 1 1 3 19
- 14Dawid Rempała2 1 03+1
- 15Mateusz Cierniak3 3 3 2 112+1
- 16Daniel Kaczmarek00
- 1David Bellego3 0 2 1 0 39
- 2Dimitri Berge0 2 13+1
- 3Dawid LampartD 1 2 03+1
- 4Kamil Brzozowski2 D2
- 5Kai Huckenbeck2 3 2 1 210+1
- 6Tomasz Orwat1 01
- 7Mateusz BłażykowskiW0
- 8Andreas Lyager3 3 1 29
Heat by heat
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR1
- Dawid Lampart · BYDD
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Dawid Rempała · TAR2*
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Dimitri Berge · BYD0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD2
- Dawid Rempała · TAR1
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD0
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYDD
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Dimitri Berge · BYD2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Dawid Lampart · BYD2*
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Dimitri Berge · BYD1*
- Kim Nilsson · TAR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Dawid Lampart · BYD0
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 19 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | BYD | TAR | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 5.6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Artur Mroczka | 3 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Dimitri Berge | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| David Bellego | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 2 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 11.0 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Kim Nilsson | 3 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 6.7 | 3 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.