TAR vs TOR

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 19, 2020 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów

Results

TAR 33 : 57 TOR
TAR
TOR

Heat by heat

Heat 169.11 s1:5
Heat 270.18 s5:1
Heat 369.94 s1:5
Heat 469.81 s2:4
Heat 569.03 s1:5
Heat 669.85 s3:3
Heat 769.60 s4:2
Heat 870.00 s1:5
Heat 970.08 s1:5
Heat 1069.79 s3:3
Heat 1170.12 s3:3
Heat 1269.55 s3:3
Heat 1369.59 s1:5
Heat 1469.46 s1:5
Heat 1569.83 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Thunderstorm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
26 → 25 °C
Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Wind
10 km/h E
gusts up to 19 km/h
Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting
1.6 mm
Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
6.2 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
50 %
Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–7810−2+2
8–10513−8+8
11–13711−4+4
14–1548−4+4
TARTORTARTOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TAR
-20-15-10-50115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-445 %
2064 %
3-434 %
4-623 %
5-109 %
6-108 %
7-813 %
8-122 %
9-161 %
10-162 %
11-161 %
12-160 %
13-200 %
14-240 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Viktor Kulakov510.414+3.6
Michał Gruchalski44.67+2.4
Mateusz Cierniak55.98+2.1
Jack Holder510.612+1.4
Tobiasz Musielak45.97+1.1
Adrian Miedziński58.910+1.1
Chris Holder511.212+0.8
Ernest Koza54.75+0.3
Dawid Rempała32.62-0.6
Daniel Kaczmarek10.70-0.7
Artur Mroczka33.12-1.1
Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński33.12-1.1
Aleks Rydlewski11.20-1.2
Kamil Marciniec21.40-1.4
Peter Ljung59.16-3.1
Kim Nilsson46.73-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 70.1869.03 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 21.7:40.3 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −0.57 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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