GNI vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 18, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 10Adrian Gała3 3 3 1 313
- 11Timo Lahti0 2 2 3 29+2
- 12Oliver Berntzon3 1 3 2 312+1
- 13Oskar Fajfer1 3 3 3 010
- 14Damian Stalkowski3 1 04
- 15Marcel Studziński0 0 00
- 16Frederik Jakobsen2 2 1 16+2
- 1Tomasz Gapiński1 1 2 0 04+1
- 2Rafał Okoniewski2 2 0 2 2 210
- 3Nicolai Klindt3 3 2 3 0 112+1
- 4Adrian Cyfer2 0 1 14+1
- 5Grzegorz Walasek0 1 12
- 6Sebastian Szostak2 0 02
- 7Kacper Grzelak1 0 12+2
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Timo Lahti · GNI0
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1*
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2*
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h N
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GNI | OST | GNI | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 6 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.0 | 4 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.