DAU vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 18, 2020 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Kasts Puodzuks2 1 14
- 10Linus Sundstroem0 W 0 00
- 11Pontus Aspgren0 3 2 2 07+1
- 12Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 1 12
- 13Andrey Kudryashov3 W 3 2 3 213
- 14Francis Gusts2 2 04+1
- 15Olegs Mihailovs3 2 3 0 1 110+1
- 1Kacper Gomolski1 1 2 37+1
- 2Peter Kildemand1 3 3 3 111+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen3 0 1 3 29+1
- 4Jacob Thorssell3 2 2 2 312+1
- 5Krystian Pieszczek2 2 W 15+1
- 6Karol Żupiński1 1 13
- 7Alan Szczotka0 3 03
- 8Robert Chmiel00
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Francis Gusts · DAU2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Francis Gusts · DAU2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU0
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1*
- Francis Gusts · DAU0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU0
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Robert Chmiel · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 → 27 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 6 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAU | GDA | DAU | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrey Kudryashov | 6 | 8.1 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 6 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 3 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Francis Gusts | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Robert Chmiel | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 6.2 | 0 | -6.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.